WITH just hours to go until what could arguably be the most important vote in the UK’s history, the people of Fermanagh have categorically expressed their desire to remain a part of the EU.
Not since the Good Friday Agreement (GFA) has a referendum got the people of the North as riled up as tomorrow’s ‘Brexit’ vote and, according to an online poll conducted by the Herald, Fermanagh is on course for a resounding ‘Remain’ vote, with over two-thirds of those surveyed saying they will opt to stay.
Almost 150 people voted in our poll on Twitter, which asked what way voters planned to cast their ballot in tomorrow’s referendum. With 24 per-cent stating they would be voting in favour of a Brexit, a massive 69 per-cent said they wished the UK to remain within the EU.
While our sample was smal,l if the poll is any indication, and if people were honest in their answers, we may also be heading for as a high a turnout as the GFA referendum. Only seven per-cent stated they didn’t intend to vote tomorrow.
The Fermanagh survey is drastically different to UK-wide still-too-close-to-call polls, and is even out of keeping with those elsewhere in the North where the Leave campaign has enjoyed a slight surge in recent times, but our figures are unsurprising.
If there is a Brexit following this week’s vote, Fermanagh will have one of the longest, and indeed only, frontiers with the EU in the UK. Anxiety over what this could mean for business and for locals who cross the border daily for both work and socialising has been growing in recent weeks, with many fearful of what a UK outside the common market might mean for day-to-day life.
So far even the experts cannot say what form the border would take in the event of a Brexit, but can agree there certainly would be crossing controls of some kind.
To further compound fears, a report from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) published earlier this week has predicted the cost of farming and food production will rise in the wake of a Brexit, and suggested barriers to trade could impact the prosperity of the North more than anywhere else in the UK.
There are some glimmers of hope for ‘remainers’, though. The Sterling surged on Monday after the latest polls showed the Remain campaign regaining some of the ground they had lost over the past month to the Leave side.
On top of that, the bookies have also put a remain vote at odds-on favourite to win the day. In fact, in just the past few days betting giant Paddy Power slashed their odds of remain vote to just 1/4. And, with so much money at stake for them, bookies are always a safer bet than the polls.
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Posted: 4:00 pm June 22, 2016