AS DECEMBER approaches and temperatures begin to drop, many are hoping for a sprinkling of snow on Christmas Day.
However, the likelihood of a white Christmas in Fermanagh remains low, despite a few forecasts and betting activity stirring excitement among punters.
Bookmakers typically define a white Christmas as at leaast one flake of snow falling at a designated airport site, including Dublin and Belfast.
This measurement is what many use to place seasonal bets, with odds fluctuating based on weather patterns and forecasts in the weeks leading up to Christmas.
For 2025, the odds for a white Christmas in Northern Ireland are currently around 3/1, giving an implied probability of roughly 25 per-cent.
In contrast, the chance of snow falling at Dublin Airport in the Republic of Ireland is much lower, with odds near 12/1, or about 7–8 per-cent.
While some punters are tempted to wager on the possibility of a flake or two, meteorologists caution that these figures only reflect the chance of snow falling, not necessarily lying on the ground.
Historical data underscores just how rare a truly snowy Christmas is in these islands. Since 1960, only four years have seen conditions that could reasonably be called a white Christmas: 1981, 1995, 2009, and 2010.
In other years, even if snow has been reported at airports, it has often melted quickly or failed to settle, leaving a predominantly green festive scene.
While long-range forecasts hint at colder spells, predicting snow so far in advance is notoriously difficult.
Even in years with short, sharp cold snaps, snow at Christmas remains unpredictable and fleeting.
For most of Ireland and Northern Ireland, waking up to a winter wonderland on December 25 is more wishful thinking than expectation.
For now, the most reliable way to enjoy a white Christmas is to embrace festive decorations, seasonal lights, and the magic of holiday traditions, while keeping an eye on the forecasts for any last-minute winter surprises.
Not looking good for a White Christmas in Fermanagh
Posted: 8:44 am November 21, 2025
Posted: 8:44 am November 21, 2025







